Rest of Season Projection
EdgardoCategoryJoel
38K ←25
3.69ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →4–8
Current Season
EdgardoCategoryJoel
19K ←13
3.43ERA →3.04
1.10WHIP ←1.18
2W ←1
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Edgardo Henriquez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.03)
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 1.57 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Edgardo Henriquez: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Joel Kuhnel: 25 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).