Rest of Season Projection
HuascarCategoryJoel
41K ←25
3.62ERA ←3.73
1.26WHIP →1.24
2–7W ←1–2
0SV →4–8
Current Season
HuascarCategoryJoel
24K ←13
1.86ERA ←3.04
0.97WHIP ←1.18
3W ←1
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Huascar Brazobán
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.72 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 1.57 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Huascar Brazobán: 41 K / 3.62 ERA. Joel Kuhnel: 25 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).