MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lucas Erceg.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Lucas Erceg wins 2 categories (K, SV); Emilio Pagán wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
94.8
Lucas Erceg
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
15.3%
Lucas Erceg
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
26.2%
Lucas Erceg
15.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
31.0%
Lucas Erceg
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
51.5%
Lucas Erceg
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
10.3%
Lucas Erceg
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
.306
Lucas Erceg
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Emilio Pagán
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
Lucas Erceg
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Emilio Pagán
.9702.19
now 1.43
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9702.19
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
4023.60
now 11
11
Lucas Erceg
4023.60
now 18
15
Winshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
.2003.80
now 2
13
Lucas Erceg
.2003.80
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
1.2013.80
now 6
47
Lucas Erceg
1.2013.80
now 11
59
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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