Rest of Season Projection
EmmetCategoryJustin
115K ←79
3.71ERA ←3.84
1.17WHIP ←1.28
4–8W →8–17
0SV0
Current Season
EmmetCategoryJustin
62K ←40
4.50ERA →2.87
1.16WHIP →1.01
3W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emmet Sheehan
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.71, 0.39 below league — production is earned
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Emmet Sheehan: 115 K / 3.71 ERA. Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).