Rest of Season Projection
EmmetCategorySpencer
115K ←98
3.71ERA ←4.24
1.17WHIP ←1.35
4–8W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
EmmetCategorySpencer
62K ←43
4.50ERA →1.34
1.16WHIP →1.13
3W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emmet Sheehan
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.71, 0.39 below league — production is earned
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Emmet Sheehan: 115 K / 3.71 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).