MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Eric Lauer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Eric Lauer wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
91.0
Kodai Senga
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.4%
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
15.3%
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
32.6%
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
35.0%
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.2%
Kodai Senga
13.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.333
Kodai Senga
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.50
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.042.21
now 1.39
1.32
Kodai Senga
1.042.21
now 1.95
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4049.60
now 30
34
Kodai Senga
4049.60
now 23
42
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.0004.20
now 2
13
Kodai Senga
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.74
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
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