Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Erik Miller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, W); Erik Miller wins 1 (SV); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Erik Miller
96.8
José Alvarado
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
12.1%
José Alvarado
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
30.1%
José Alvarado
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Erik Miller
22.1%
José Alvarado
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
31.9%
José Alvarado
30.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
10.6%
José Alvarado
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Erik Miller
.325
José Alvarado
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Erik Miller
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Erik Miller
1.012.04
now 1.41
1.24
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Erik Miller
4047.80
now 24
39
José Alvarado
4047.80
now 26
41
Winshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
1–2
Saveshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0008
now 2
1–6
José Alvarado
.0008
now 1
1–3
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90