MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Erik Miller wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Erik Miller
96.8
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
13.8%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Erik Miller
32.4%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Erik Miller
26.2%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
27.5%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Erik Miller
7.2%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Erik Miller
.277
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Erik Miller
26.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
Louis Varland
26.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Erik Miller
.9001.56
now 1.41
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.56
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Erik Miller
4050.40
now 24
21
Louis Varland
4050.40
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Erik Miller
.0002.80
now 0
00
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Erik Miller
.00010.80
now 2
13
Louis Varland
.00010.80
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
Tweet