Rest of Season Projection
ErnieCategoryTravis
3HR →4
33R ←28
29RBI ←24
3SB →17
.262AVG ←.226
Current Season
ErnieCategoryTravis
5HR ←3
25R ←13
22RBI ←11
2SB →8
.300AVG ←.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ernie Clement
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.273 is 0.071 below the surface — regression coming
Travis Bazzana
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Ernie Clement: 3 HR / 33 R. Travis Bazzana: 4 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).