MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Francisco Alvarez
NYM · C
Change to
Portrait of Will Smith
Will Smith
LAD · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Will Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Will Smith wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Francisco Alvarez wins 1 (HR); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
90.2
Will Smith
90.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
44.4%
Will Smith
39.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
16.6%
Will Smith
13.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
32.1%
Will Smith
21.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
15.2%
Will Smith
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
.347
Will Smith
.385
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.230.270
lg AVG .295
now .243
.242
Will Smith
.230.270
lg AVG .295
now .250
.258

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
57.20
now 4
4
Will Smith
57.20
now 6
3
Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2026
now 12
12
Will Smith
2026
now 22
16
RBIhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2028.20
now 10
10
Will Smith
2028.20
now 23
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.0001.20
now 0
0
Will Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyFrancisco Alvarez — buy.conf 0.66
Buy LowWill Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
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