Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryIan
8HR →11
34R →52
45RBI ←41
10SB ←3
.213AVG ←.189
Current Season
GarrettCategoryIan
3HR →13
21R →39
28RBI →31
6SB ←2
.230AVG.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Mitchell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.329)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.408 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Garrett Mitchell: 8 HR / 34 R. Ian Happ: 11 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).