Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryMatt
39K ←30
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W →3–9
0SV →1–3
Current Season
GarrettCategoryMatt
26K ←19
3.05ERA →2.63
1.11WHIP ←1.29
3W →4
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Whitlock
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.01)
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Garrett Whitlock: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Matt Gage: 30 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).