Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryMacKenzie
100K →110
4.10ERA →4.07
1.30WHIP ←1.36
4–9W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryMacKenzie
12K →65
0.00ERA ←3.96
0.71WHIP ←1.19
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
MacKenzie Gore
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.07)
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. MacKenzie Gore: 110 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).