Rest of Season Projection
IanCategoryOneil
13HR →19
58R →63
46RBI →61
3SB →28
.184AVG →.242
Current Season
IanCategoryOneil
13HR13
39R →42
31RBI →41
2SB →19
.230AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ian Happ: 13 HR / 58 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

