Rest of Season Projection
IanCategoryRandal
13HR ←10
55R ←39
44RBI →45
3SB ←0
.190AVG →.285
Current Season
IanCategoryRandal
13HR ←4
39R ←13
31RBI ←15
2SB ←0
.230AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Randal Grichuk
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.379)
Ian Happ: 13 HR / 55 R. Randal Grichuk: 10 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).