Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryRandal
5HR →10
37R →40
46RBI →47
19SB ←0
.254AVG →.291
Current Season
JakeCategoryRandal
4HR4
20R ←13
25RBI ←15
10SB ←0
.288AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake McCarthy
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.319)
Randal Grichuk
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.273 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jake McCarthy: 5 HR / 37 R. Randal Grichuk: 10 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).