Rest of Season Projection
IsaacCategoryKyle
28K ←27
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.28
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
IsaacCategoryKyle
15K →16
4.12ERA →1.93
1.47WHIP ←1.54
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Isaac Mattson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.33)
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.272 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.09 is 2.16 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Isaac Mattson: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Kyle Finnegan: 27 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).