Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryLuke
12HR →14
37R →41
31RBI →57
14SB ←2
.248AVG ←.232
Current Season
JacksonCategoryLuke
2HR →13
13R →22
11RBI →31
5SB ←1
.276AVG.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.340)
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 37 R. Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).