Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryRonald
12HR →16
36R →45
31RBI →35
14SB →20
.251AVG →.253
Current Season
JacksonCategoryRonald
2HR →7
13R →27
11RBI →21
5SB →12
.276AVG ←.253
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Ronald Acuña Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.385, +0.070 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Ronald Acuña Jr.: 16 HR / 45 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).