Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryRonald
10HR →16
49R ←46
40RBI ←36
7SB →20
.302AVG ←.259
Current Season
BrandonCategoryRonald
5HR →7
29R ←27
24RBI ←21
4SB →12
.317AVG ←.253
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Ronald Acuña Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.397, +0.082 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Ronald Acuña Jr.: 16 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).