Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryOneil
14HR →19
41R →63
33RBI →61
16SB →28
.242AVG.242
Current Season
JacksonCategoryOneil
5HR →13
26R →42
21RBI →41
10SB →19
.209AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.260 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jackson Merrill: 14 HR / 41 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).