Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryJesús
12HR →14
43R ←32
49RBI ←48
15SB ←2
.217AVG →.290
Current Season
JarrenCategoryJesús
10HR ←6
29R ←19
33RBI ←28
10SB ←1
.219AVG →.287
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jesús Sánchez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.350, +0.035 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 43 R. Jesús Sánchez: 14 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).