MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Portrait of Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIA · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Owen Caissie.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Jarren Duran’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Owen Caissie wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Jarren Duran wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
89.7
Owen Caissie
91.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
39.1%
Owen Caissie
48.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
10.7%
Owen Caissie
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
34.4%
Owen Caissie
30.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
17.0%
Owen Caissie
17.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
.295
Owen Caissie
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jarren Duran
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .219
.198
Owen Caissie
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.206

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
512.40
now 10
4
Owen Caissie
512.40
now 5
6
Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
2034.20
now 29
22
Owen Caissie
2034.20
now 17
16
RBIhigher is better
Jarren Duran
21.8036.20
now 33
25
Owen Caissie
21.8036.20
now 30
28
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jarren Duran
.20012.80
now 10
8
Owen Caissie
.20012.80
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJarren Duran — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67
Hold · steadyOwen Caissie — hold.conf 0.60
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