Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryKyle
26K →36
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JasonCategoryKyle
11K →21
0.90ERA ←1.00
1.00WHIP →0.78
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.33 is 1.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Hurt
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.16)
Jason Adam: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Kyle Hurt: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).