MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Joel Kuhnel
Joel Kuhnel
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nate Pearson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Joel Kuhnel’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nate Pearson wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Joel Kuhnel wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
95.1
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
10.7%
Nate Pearson
11.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
14.0%
Nate Pearson
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
29.2%
Nate Pearson
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
39.5%
Nate Pearson
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
5.9%
Nate Pearson
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
.355
Nate Pearson
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.04
3.76
Nate Pearson
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
1.021.32
now 1.18
1.25
Nate Pearson
1.021.32
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
4021.60
now 13
16
Nate Pearson
4021.60
now 2
13
Winshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0002.80
now 1
12
Nate Pearson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.00013.60
now 4
36
Nate Pearson
.00013.60
now 1
210
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJoel Kuhnel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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