Rest of Season Projection
JorgeCategoryLawrence
6HR →8
26R →32
18RBI →26
0SB →7
.171AVG →.224
Current Season
JorgeCategoryLawrence
1HR →3
10R →17
7RBI →14
0SB →4
.170AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jorge Barrosa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.212)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.206 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jorge Barrosa: 6 HR / 26 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).