MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
PJ Poulin
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. PJ Poulin’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); PJ Poulin wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.1
PJ Poulin
90.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.9%
PJ Poulin
6.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
27.8%
PJ Poulin
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.4%
PJ Poulin
23.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.1%
PJ Poulin
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
5.1%
PJ Poulin
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.295
PJ Poulin
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.246.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
PJ Poulin
2.246.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.78
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
PJ Poulin
1.012.04
now 1.46
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
18
PJ Poulin
4031.60
now 18
12
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.20
now 1
01
PJ Poulin
.0004.20
now 3
12
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
01
PJ Poulin
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighPJ Poulin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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