Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Tyler Kinley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
José Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Tyler Kinley wins 2 (ERA, W).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.1
Tyler Kinley
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.8%
Tyler Kinley
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
28.0%
Tyler Kinley
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.8%
Tyler Kinley
25.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.2%
Tyler Kinley
28.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
5.3%
Tyler Kinley
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.297
Tyler Kinley
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.196.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Tyler Kinley
2.196.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.68
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9102.07
now 1.81
1.24
Tyler Kinley
.9102.07
now 1.17
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4033.60
now 26
19
Tyler Kinley
4033.60
now 28
17
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0005.60
now 1
0–1
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 4
1–4
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0002.40
now 1
0–1
Tyler Kinley
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50