MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Rogers
Tyler Rogers
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Tyler Rogers’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Tyler Rogers wins 1 (ERA); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.1
Tyler Rogers
83.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.8%
Tyler Rogers
7.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
28.0%
Tyler Rogers
13.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.8%
Tyler Rogers
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
27.2%
Tyler Rogers
26.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
5.3%
Tyler Rogers
1.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.297
Tyler Rogers
.253
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Tyler Rogers
26.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.36
2.63
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.08
now 1.81
1.24
Tyler Rogers
.9002.08
now 1.13
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4032
now 26
19
Tyler Rogers
4032
now 16
11
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
01
Tyler Rogers
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
01
Tyler Rogers
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighTyler Rogers — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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