Rest of Season Projection
JulioCategoryTroy
15HR ←8
47R ←38
44RBI ←41
7SB ←5
.249AVG →.297
Current Season
JulioCategoryTroy
12HR ←2
32R ←23
30RBI ←25
5SB ←3
.259AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Julio Rodríguez: 15 HR / 47 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).