Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryMichael
74K →96
3.86ERA ←4.08
1.26WHIP →1.23
7–16W7–16
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryMichael
40K →60
2.87ERA ←3.25
1.01WHIP ←1.20
7W7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.86 is 1.24 above the ERA — regression coming
Michael Soroka
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.08)
Justin Wrobleski: 74 K / 3.86 ERA. Michael Soroka: 96 K / 4.08 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).