Rest of Season Projection
KerryCategoryLawrence
10HR ←8
27R →32
43RBI ←26
0SB →7
.185AVG →.224
Current Season
KerryCategoryLawrence
7HR ←3
12R →17
19RBI ←14
0SB →4
.239AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.303)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.206 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 27 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).