Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryZack
91K ←80
3.24ERA3.24
1.13WHIP1.13
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
KevinCategoryZack
66K ←40
3.13ERA →2.27
1.09WHIP →0.85
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Gausman
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.24, 0.86 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.24 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Kevin Gausman: 91 K / 3.24 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 80 K / 3.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).