Rest of Season Projection
BraxtonCategoryZack
109K ←82
3.02ERA ←3.23
1.17WHIP →1.13
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
BraxtonCategoryZack
81K ←40
2.77ERA →2.27
1.03WHIP →0.85
5W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.02, 1.08 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.23 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Braxton Ashcraft: 109 K / 3.02 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 82 K / 3.23 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).