MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Wilber Dotel
Wilber Dotel
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Wilber Dotel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Wilber Dotel wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Wilber Dotel
98.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Wilber Dotel
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
19.0%
Wilber Dotel
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Wilber Dotel
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
47.6%
Wilber Dotel
52.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
7.1%
Wilber Dotel
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
.321
Wilber Dotel
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Kelly
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.74
Wilber Dotel
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.32
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Kelly
.9001.44
now 0.81
1.24
Wilber Dotel
.9001.44
now 0.73
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
4033.60
now 19
16
Wilber Dotel
4033.60
now 14
28
Winshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0005.20
now 3
14
Wilber Dotel
.0005.20
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
13
Wilber Dotel
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeWilber Dotel — hold.conf 0.50
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