MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP, wins, and saves. Lake Bachar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 3 categories (WHIP, W, SV); Lake Bachar wins 2 (K, ERA).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lake Bachar
94.7
Matt Festa
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
14.9%
Matt Festa
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
26.7%
Matt Festa
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
29.8%
Matt Festa
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
39.8%
Matt Festa
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
8.6%
Matt Festa
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lake Bachar
.279
Matt Festa
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lake Bachar
2.595.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.19
Matt Festa
2.595.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Lake Bachar
.9101.36
now 1.01
1.26
Matt Festa
.9101.36
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lake Bachar
4037.60
now 32
28
Matt Festa
4037.60
now 27
25
Winshigher is better
Lake Bachar
.0001.48
now 0
00
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Lake Bachar
.0003.40
now 0
0
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.87
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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