Rest of Season Projection
LakeCategorySam
43K ←35
3.64ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
LakeCategorySam
32K ←26
3.77ERA →2.49
1.01WHIP ←1.07
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lake Bachar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Lake Bachar: 43 K / 3.64 ERA. Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).