Rest of Season Projection
SamCategorySean
36K →39
3.70ERA →3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV0–2
Current Season
SamCategorySean
26K →31
2.49ERA ←2.62
1.07WHIP ←1.08
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 is 0.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Newcomb
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.37)
Sam Moll: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Sean Newcomb: 39 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).