MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Sam Moll
Sam Moll
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.93
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CadeCategorySam
66K 44
3.60ERA 3.68
1.22WHIP 1.25
2–5W 1–3
23–43SV 1–3

Current Season

CadeCategorySam
42K 26
2.60ERA 2.49
1.08WHIP 1.07
2W 1
20SV 1

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cade Smith
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Sam Moll
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.33 is 0.94 above the ERA — regression coming

Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Sam Moll: 44 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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