Rest of Season Projection
JoeCategorySam
28K →35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
JoeCategorySam
16K →26
2.04ERA ←2.49
1.13WHIP →1.07
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joe Mantiply
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.53)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Joe Mantiply: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).