MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 27, 2026
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Luinder Avila wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luinder Avila
96.2
Matt Festa
92.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
10.3%
Matt Festa
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
21.0%
Matt Festa
25.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
26.4%
Matt Festa
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
31.9%
Matt Festa
37.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
6.7%
Matt Festa
8.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luinder Avila
.318
Matt Festa
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luinder Avila
3.315.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
3.73
Matt Festa
3.315.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Luinder Avila
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.27
Matt Festa
1.051.90
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luinder Avila
4047.40
now 25
41
Matt Festa
4047.40
now 27
32
Winshigher is better
Luinder Avila
.5202.48
now 1
12
Matt Festa
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Luinder Avila
.0003.40
now 0
0
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowLuinder Avila — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.87
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet