MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 15, 2026
Engraved portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC·P
Hold med·0.55
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

AustinCategoryLuinder
35K 50
3.70ERA 3.76
1.24WHIP 1.27
1–3W1–3
0SV0

Current Season

AustinCategoryLuinder
22K 25
1.33ERA 4.44
1.13WHIP 1.71
1W1
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Austin Warren
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.45)
Luinder Avila
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.356 elevated and unstable — the 6.19 ERA overstates the damage
  • xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.82 is +0.72 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy

Austin Warren: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Luinder Avila: 50 K / 3.76 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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