Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryTravis
1HR →5
43R ←31
34RBI ←26
7SB →19
.295AVG ←.247
Current Season
LuisCategoryTravis
2HR →3
29R ←13
23RBI ←11
5SB →8
.321AVG ←.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.309 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Travis Bazzana
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.327 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 43 R. Travis Bazzana: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).