MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Richards.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Richards wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Matt Festa wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.6
Trevor Richards
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.6%
Trevor Richards
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.6%
Trevor Richards
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
30.2%
Trevor Richards
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
40.0%
Trevor Richards
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
7.8%
Trevor Richards
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.299
Trevor Richards
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.946.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.73
Trevor Richards
2.946.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.121.34
now 1.24
1.27
Trevor Richards
1.121.34
now 1.19
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4036.20
now 27
5
Trevor Richards
4036.20
now 14
4
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
00
Trevor Richards
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyMatt Festa — buy.conf 0.71
Sell HighTrevor Richards — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
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