MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Caleb Kilian wins 1 (ERA); Trevor Richards wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Trevor Richards
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Trevor Richards
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Trevor Richards
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Trevor Richards
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Trevor Richards
41.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Trevor Richards
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Trevor Richards
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.756.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.57
Trevor Richards
2.756.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.99
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.39
now 1.15
1.32
Trevor Richards
1.081.39
now 1.19
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4040.60
now 29
0
Trevor Richards
4040.60
now 14
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Trevor Richards
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.76
Sell HighTrevor Richards — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
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