MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Dion
Will Dion
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Will Dion.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Will Dion wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Festa wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.5
Will Dion
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.2%
Will Dion
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.8%
Will Dion
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
29.8%
Will Dion
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
41.0%
Will Dion
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
9.0%
Will Dion
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.316
Will Dion
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.786.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
4.02
Will Dion
2.786.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
12.07
now 1.24
1.26
Will Dion
12.07
now 1.83
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4034.60
now 27
17
Will Dion
4034.60
now 8
23
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
01
Will Dion
.0001.48
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0002.40
now 1
01
Will Dion
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowWill Dion — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.87
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