Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryOneil
8HR →19
26R →63
39RBI →61
4SB →28
.246AVG ←.242
Current Season
MattCategoryOneil
4HR →13
14R →42
21RBI →41
2SB →19
.211AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Vierling
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Matt Vierling: 8 HR / 26 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).