Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryZack
71K →72
5.12ERA ←5.39
1.31WHIP ←1.37
3–7W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryZack
44K ←35
2.98ERA ←5.01
1.10WHIP ←1.37
3W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.67 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 6.08 is 1.07 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael McGreevy: 71 K / 5.12 ERA. Zack Littell: 72 K / 5.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).