Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryPaul
98K →126
3.95ERA →2.28
1.32WHIP →1.04
4–9W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryPaul
65K →75
3.23ERA →2.89
1.12WHIP →0.86
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.95 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Michael Wacha: 98 K / 3.95 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).