Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategoryOneil
4HR →19
26R →63
29RBI →61
0SB →28
.314AVG ←.242
Current Season
NathanCategoryOneil
0HR →13
8R →42
9RBI →41
0SB →19
.301AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.332)
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Lukes: 4 HR / 26 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).